Tuesday, 18 February 2014

TO SMOKE OR NOT TO SMOKE

 

King James 1 observed the perils of smoking over
four hundred years ago: A custom loathsome to
the eye, hateful to the nose, harmful to the brain
and dangerous to the lungs, nearest resembling
the horrible Stygian smoke of the pit that is
bottomless. Nothwithstanding that smokling kills
at least 100,000 a year and harms countless others,
the debate on the freedom to cause premature death
and incapacity will doubtless continue.

 



 


Friday, 24 January 2014

EU - NEED TO EMBRACE ECONOMIC REALITY


Any critical analysis of the
eurozone crisis does not have
an obvious solution beyond that
of greater fiscal and political
integration. While this may indeed
come to pass, it would not address
the disparity in productivity
between the countries of northern
and southern Europe.
In the absence of a cultural change
in the work ethic, which is hard to
imagine, the inevitable consequence
would be Germany keeping the
southern states on extended
financial life-support.
It will continue to fund
accelerating social cost, until such
time as the German economy ran
out of money. The strategy will
merely prolong, perhaps for a
generation, the misery to which
millions will continue to be
subjected.

The only practicable way
forward is for insolvent
eurozone members to rebalance
their economies through the
re-introduction of their former
currencies.

This would, of course, be
extremely painful in the medium
term. However, exhange rates
reflecting competitive performance
rather than a single currency, would
enable tourism and other activities
to flourish and economies to grow.

Such an outcome would not satisfy
the federalist deciples of Ardanauer,
Monet and Schuman, the founding
fathers of the EU. It would, however,
bring hope to those countries that
would prefer economic and political
self-determination with all its initial
pain, to a slow but remorseless
descent into even more dystopian
misery.

David Cameron's speech at Davos
articulated the need for change. The
EU has 7% of the world's population,
generates 25% of global GDP, but
spends 50% of GDP on welfare, which
is unsustainable. The question is does
the EU have the political and economic
will to change, or will reality impose
change upon it?























Wednesday, 22 January 2014

TWO DIFFERENT DEFICITS - BUDGETARY AND STRUCTURAL




 
The Chancellor is repeatedly asked why, if the economy
is recovering, it is necessary to pursue a programme of
continued austerity? The Coalition says that it has
reduced the deficit by a third, but this is only part of the
picture. It refers to the difference between annual income
and expenditure, which is currently some £90bn.

George Osborne should remind the electorate that the
Budget deficit is the not the same as total national
debt, which at around 80% of GDP is the higest of
any major economy. However, when all liabilities,
including state and public sector pensions are taken
into account the real national debt is closer to
£4.8 trillion, some four times greater than GDP. With
annual debt interest running in excess of £45bn -
equal to the entire Defence budget - the case for
continuing with the Chancellor's tight fiscal policy is
compelling.


 













Clegg's Weak Leadership


All political careers end in failure and this is
a defining moment for Nick Clegg's leadership
of his Party. Winning 57 seats and undue
influence at the General Election hardly called
for political leadership, simply the promise that
the Liberal Democrat tail would wag the Tory
dog.

Now he has failed to address the festering
sore of historical allegations and possible
motives of a number of women activists with
regard to Lord Rennard. Nick Clegg was made
aware of the problem several years ago but
took no action in an environment where gender
equality has beccome a key issue.

Entering Government and becoming Deputy
Prime Minister by a quirk of the electoral
system, Nick Clegg finds himself in a bind.
The outcome would appear to be extended
litigation, possible challenge to his position as
Party Leader, further decline in the opinion
polls and a return to business as usual
at next year's General Election. 

Postscript

Given the influence that the Deputy Prime
Minister's wife appears to be having in the
Rennard affair, one questions the extent to
which the spouse of the leader of a party
with 8.7% of parliamentary seats has in
determining the Government's priorities.

 



 

Friday, 20 December 2013

IMMIGRATION - TOO LITTLE,TOO LATE

 
David Cameron's belated proposals for restricting
benefits for the expected influx of Bulgarian and
Romanian immigrants, characteristically, amount
to little more than empty rhetoric. They will do
nothing to abate the mounting anger at the
prospect of public services, already stretched
to breaking point, having to cope with even
more immigrants.
The level of immigration is the greatest in our history
and its cultural impact on this small, overcrowded
island, dramatic. Politicians talk but appear not
to heed the voice of the people, who are reduced
to impotent bystanders, as their nation becomes
almost unrecognisable.
 
We shall see the deteriorating social conditions
in Sheffield, Boston and other cities replicated
across the country. The Prime Minister's intention
to remove EU beggars and vagrants will surely
be as unsuccessful as that of past attempts of
the UK Border Agency.
 
The proposed restrictions on access to benefits
clearly do no go far enough and will require primary
legislation, which will not go through Parliament
until next year. By this time potentially thousands
of new immigrants could well have arrived here,
creating social dislocation, a situation no-one ever
wanted and no-one voted for
.
 

Thursday, 19 December 2013

EU Block to UK's Cheap Energy

In his demeaning role as political supplicant
David Cameron has written to EU President,
Snr Manuel Borroso, complaining that new
EU laws could kill off investment in fracking.
Fracking is delivering enormous benefits
which are transforming the American
economy.
This will result in the export of thousands of
British jobs, as major multi-nationals,
particularly in petro-chemicals, take
advantage of cheap energy. It will lead to
whole swathes of UK industry becoming
uncompetitive, blighted by some of the
highest industrial electricity costs in the
western world.
 
Asking Snr Barroso to cut red tape, in
order to facilitate fracking is to ask the
impossible from this arch-federalist,
whose intention is to bring the UK
Government to heel.
 
Not since the time of Munich have the
actions of appeasement of a prime
minister so damaged Britain's interests
and its future.




 



Saturday, 30 November 2013

CULTURAL IMPACT OF UNCONTROLLED IMMIGRATION


David Cameron's belated proposals for restricting
benefits for the expected influx of Bulgarian and
Romanian immigrants, characteristically, amount
to little more than empty rhetoric. They will do
nothing to placate mounting anger at the prospect
of public services, already stretched to breaking
point, having to cope with even more immigrants.
The level of immigration is the greatest in our history
and its cultural impact on this small, overcrowded
island, dramatic. Politicians talk but appear not
to heed the voice of the people, who are reduced
to impotent bystanders, as their nation becomes
almost unrecognisable.
 
We shall see the deteriorating social conditions
in Sheffield and other cities replicated across
the country. The Prime Minister's proposed
action to remove EU beggars and vagrants will
surely be as unsuccessful as that of the past
attempts of the UK Border Agency.
The proposed restrictions on access to benefits
clearly do no go far enough and will require primary
legislation, which will not go through Parliament
until next year. By this time potentially thousands
of new immigrants could well have arrived here,
creating social dislocation, a situation no-one ever
wanted and no-one voted for.